Should I buy BBAI stock in 2025?
Is BBAI stock a buy right now?
ScoreAs of early May 2025, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) trades at around $3.25 on the NYSE, supported by a striking average daily trading volume nearing 70 million shares. While the share price has experienced notable volatility in recent months, including a 6% gain in a single day and a robust one-year appreciation of over 100%, investor interest remains firm. The latest quarterly results indicate revenue of $34.8 million, up 5% year-over-year, and a well-managed cash position of $107.6 million. Although the company is not yet profitable, it has made significant progress by halving its net loss compared to the previous year. Noteworthy developments include a substantial reduction in long-term debt and the successful raising of fresh capital through warrant exercises, steps that reinforce financial flexibility. BBAI's primary focus on AI-driven decision intelligence for government and defense clients positions it advantageously within a rapidly expanding global sector. Many market observers interpret the recent break in the downward price trend and increasing volume as signals of a constructive shift in sentiment. According to the consensus of more than 34 national and international banks, the target price is set at $4.23, reflecting confidence in the company’s strategic direction. Overall, BBAI is emerging as a notable play for Singapore investors seeking exposure to the dynamic AI technology space.
- ✅Strong one-year share price performance, doubling over the past twelve months.
- ✅Secured major government and defense contracts, supporting steady revenue streams.
- ✅Significant reduction of long-term debt, improving financial health.
- ✅Robust cash reserves of over $100 million provide operational flexibility.
- ✅Rapidly growing AI adoption in core sectors, supporting future business expansion.
- ❌Persistent net losses and negative EBITDA, with profitability still pending.
- ❌High share price volatility compared to the broader technology sector.
- ✅Strong one-year share price performance, doubling over the past twelve months.
- ✅Secured major government and defense contracts, supporting steady revenue streams.
- ✅Significant reduction of long-term debt, improving financial health.
- ✅Robust cash reserves of over $100 million provide operational flexibility.
- ✅Rapidly growing AI adoption in core sectors, supporting future business expansion.
Is BBAI stock a buy right now?
ScoreAs of early May 2025, BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) trades at around $3.25 on the NYSE, supported by a striking average daily trading volume nearing 70 million shares. While the share price has experienced notable volatility in recent months, including a 6% gain in a single day and a robust one-year appreciation of over 100%, investor interest remains firm. The latest quarterly results indicate revenue of $34.8 million, up 5% year-over-year, and a well-managed cash position of $107.6 million. Although the company is not yet profitable, it has made significant progress by halving its net loss compared to the previous year. Noteworthy developments include a substantial reduction in long-term debt and the successful raising of fresh capital through warrant exercises, steps that reinforce financial flexibility. BBAI's primary focus on AI-driven decision intelligence for government and defense clients positions it advantageously within a rapidly expanding global sector. Many market observers interpret the recent break in the downward price trend and increasing volume as signals of a constructive shift in sentiment. According to the consensus of more than 34 national and international banks, the target price is set at $4.23, reflecting confidence in the company’s strategic direction. Overall, BBAI is emerging as a notable play for Singapore investors seeking exposure to the dynamic AI technology space.
- ✅Strong one-year share price performance, doubling over the past twelve months.
- ✅Secured major government and defense contracts, supporting steady revenue streams.
- ✅Significant reduction of long-term debt, improving financial health.
- ✅Robust cash reserves of over $100 million provide operational flexibility.
- ✅Rapidly growing AI adoption in core sectors, supporting future business expansion.
- ❌Persistent net losses and negative EBITDA, with profitability still pending.
- ❌High share price volatility compared to the broader technology sector.
- ✅Strong one-year share price performance, doubling over the past twelve months.
- ✅Secured major government and defense contracts, supporting steady revenue streams.
- ✅Significant reduction of long-term debt, improving financial health.
- ✅Robust cash reserves of over $100 million provide operational flexibility.
- ✅Rapidly growing AI adoption in core sectors, supporting future business expansion.
- What is BBAI?
- How much is BBAI stock?
- Our full analysis on BBAI </b>stock
- How to buy BBAI stock in Singapore?
- Spot buying
- CFD trading
- Final advice
- Our 7 tips for buying BBAI stock
- The latest news about BBAI
- FAQ
Why trust HelloSafe?
At HelloSafe, our expert has been monitoring BBAI's performance for over three years. Every month, tens of thousands of users in Singapore rely on us to interpret market trends and highlight the most promising investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided strictly for informational purposes and do not constitute investment advice. In line with our ethical charter, we have never been, and will never be, compensated by BBAI.
What is BBAI?
| Indicator | Value | Analysis |
|---|---|---|
| 🏳️ Nationality | United States | US-listed AI company, benefiting from North American technology and defense market exposure. |
| 💼 Market | New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) | Listed on a major US exchange, offering liquidity and global investor access. |
| 🏛️ ISIN code | US08975B1098 | Unique identifier for BBAI shares, standard for international investors and tracking. |
| 👤 CEO | Kevin McAleenan | Recently appointed CEO; known for public sector expertise and leadership in complex markets. |
| 🏢 Market cap | USD 888.13 million | Small-cap status; potential for growth but higher risk and price volatility. |
| 📈 Revenue | USD 160–180 million (2025E) | Projected 2025 revenue shows growth driven by government and defense sector contracts. |
| 💹 EBITDA | Negative (single-digit millions projected 2025) | EBITDA remains negative, highlighting ongoing profitability challenges. |
| 📊 P/E Ratio (Price/Earnings) |
| Negative P/E due to losses; signals unprofitability but possible turnaround opportunity. |
- 3.6
How much is BBAI stock?
The price of BBAI stock is rising this week. As of now, BBAI trades at $3.25, gaining 6.56% in the past 24 hours and up 11.68% on the week, with a current market capitalization of $888.13 million.
The average trading volume over the last three months stands at 69.95 million shares. BBAI’s P/E ratio is -3.6, as the company is not yet profitable, and it does not currently offer a dividend yield.
The stock’s beta is 3.05, reflecting notably higher volatility—an important factor for Singapore investors seeking exposure to dynamic AI-driven growth stories.
Check out the best brokers in Singapore!Compare brokersOur full analysis on BBAI stock
We have reviewed BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.’s (BBAI) most recent financial disclosures as well as its compelling stock trajectory over the past three years. This in-depth analysis synthesises a broad array of quantitative and qualitative sources—financial metrics, technical patterns, real-time market data, and competitive landscape—calibrated using proprietary analytical models. So, why might BBAI stock once again become a strategic entry point into the next wave of AI-driven technology in 2025?
Recent Performance and Market Context
BigBear.ai (NYSE: BBAI) has demonstrated a distinctive performance profile within the technology and AI decision intelligence sector. As of May 9, 2025, the stock is trading at $3.25, marking an intraday gain of 6.56% and a robust one-year performance of +106.08%, even as year-to-date performance is off by 31.46%. Notably, BBAI’s weekly momentum has turned sharply positive, outperforming many sector peers over the past fortnight. The 10-day average trading volume stands at an impressive 69.95 million shares, emphasizing broad investor engagement and a deep pool of liquidity.
Recent corporate actions further strengthen this constructive backdrop. The voluntary conversion of long-term debt, resulting in a $58 million reduction in Q1 2025, coupled with the successful raising of $64.7 million via warrant exercises, reinforces the company’s capital position. Major new revenue streams, including additional Department of Homeland Security and Digital Identity contracts, underpin both growth and revenue visibility. At a macro level, global tailwinds for AI-powered decision intelligence—especially in government and defense—support an environment where select players like BigBear.ai can thrive as organizations digitize and modernize at scale.
Technical Analysis
From a technical standpoint, BBAI signals a pivotal moment that could mark renewed bullish interest. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 51.52 is essentially neutral, which means there is ample room for upward expansion without near-term overbought risk. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is slightly bearish at -0.01, but trending toward a potential reversal as buying volume accelerates in recent sessions.
Crucially, the stock trades decisively above its 20-day Simple Moving Average ($2.99) and 200-day SMA ($2.91), which is interpreted as a medium- and long-term bullish confirmation. While prices remain marginally below the 50- and 100-day moving averages, the recent breakout above the short-term downtrend signals a possible early phase of a new upward structure. Key price congestion zones at $3.04 and $2.97 provide solid support, while the nearest resistance at $3.34 and subsequently $3.53–$3.57 could act as the next technical targets if the current breakout sustains.
The positive price-volume divergence—where increasing trading volumes accompany price upticks—is regarded as an encouraging sign. With a volatile, high-beta stock such as BBAI (β=3.05), these momentum bursts often foreshadow more sustained bullish moves. These signals suggest that, from a technical perspective, BBAI appears to be at an attractive entry point for those seeking exposure to an emerging bullish reversal within the AI sector.
Fundamental Analysis
The company’s Q1 2025 financial report underscores several foundational strengths. Revenue increased by 5% year-over-year to $34.8 million, while gross margin improved marginally to 21.3%. Perhaps most significantly, BigBear.ai halved its net loss year-over-year (from $127.8 million to $62 million), indicating structural progress toward operational discipline.
Although adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was negative at -$7.0 million, management’s forecast for full-year 2025 (revenue of $160–$180 million, and negative single-digit adjusted EBITDA) is constructive given the company’s ongoing investments in scaling their AI platform and expanding contract wins. A healthy cash reserve of $107.6 million as of March 31, 2025, combined with a burgeoning backlog of $385 million, provides financial resilience and operational flexibility going forward.
While traditional valuation multiples like P/E and PEG are negative due to ongoing net losses, BBAI’s price/sales ratio (currently fluctuating in the ~5x range based on forward sales) is not out of line compared to fast-growth peers in AI and SaaS. This suggests that—if the current revenue trajectory and path toward cash flow break-even is sustained—present valuations could prove particularly attractive looking forward. The company’s strategic focus on government and defense, sectors with high barriers to entry and robust demand for mission-critical AI, affords it a competitive edge scarcely matched by direct rivals.
Structural strengths extend beyond financials. BBAI’s ability to secure multi-year, high-value contracts in tightly regulated sectors not only locks in multi-year revenues, but also cements its reputation and brand in a trust-driven ecosystem. Innovation, adaptability, and a deep understanding of client mission requirements bolster its platform’s stickiness in environments where change is both rapid and essential.
Volume and Liquidity
High sustained trading volume is one of BBAI’s most compelling features from a market structure perspective. The recent 10-day average of nearly 70 million shares per day not only provides outstanding liquidity and low transaction costs, but also reflects persistent institutional and retail demand. This depth attributes to market confidence, signaling that the stock is far from illiquid or speculative in nature.
The sizable float and broad investor base mean the stock can accommodate dynamic moves without succumbing to runaway illiquidity or price gapping, characteristics vital for both traders and longer-term investors seeking entry and exit flexibility. Such an active volume profile, especially when paired with supportive technical indicators, often heralds a period of re-valuation and enhanced price discovery.
Catalysts and Positive Outlook
Looking ahead, BBAI is primed to benefit from several bullish catalysts:
- Expansion of Government and Defense Contracts: Recent wins in Department of Homeland Security and digital identity amplify predictable, recurring revenue and validate the unique value proposition BBAI brings to mission-critical applications.
- Strategic Financial Actions: The company’s reduction of long-term debt, combined with an increased cash buffer thanks to successful warrant exercises, empowers BigBear.ai to aggressively pursue new business without jeopardizing balance sheet health.
- AI Adoption Wave: As global public and private sector agencies intensify digital transformation post-pandemic, decision-intelligence powered by robust AI is becoming a procurement priority. BBAI’s deep sector relationships and proven deployment track record position it favorably relative to emerging competition.
- Technology and Product Innovation: With a focus on continual improvement and rapid rollout of new data analytics and AI-driven products, the company is well-placed to capture share in a market with accelerating demand curves.
- Favorable Sector Backdrop: The global context for AI—highlighted by regulatory support, rising IT budgets in security and defense, and elevated geopolitical risk—generates consistent demand for sophisticated analysis and intelligence platforms.
Considered together, these factors not only drive near-term revenue, but amplify the narrative potential for BBAI as a leader in applied AI, especially in segments with high regulatory and technical barriers to entry.
Investment Strategies
From a buy-side perspective, BBAI seems to represent an excellent opportunity for a range of investor profiles:
- Short-Term: For tactical traders, the stock’s high beta, significant liquidity, and recent technical breakout above resistance levels offer ripe conditions for participation in near-term swings. The bullish volume and reversal signals could catalyze rapid price advances, particularly with multiple technical resistance zones potentially in play.
- Medium-Term: Investors seeking 3-12 month plays may find the company’s improving fundamentals, strengthening cash position, and robust backlog particularly compelling. The proximity to key technical supports suggests a favorable risk/reward profile, especially when paired with management’s constructive outlook for 2025.
- Long-Term: For those with a multi-year horizon, BBAI’s embedded position within critical infrastructure for government and defense, its scalable AI platform, and strategic expansion into high-growth markets offer a narrative for sustained compounding. As the company progresses toward profitability and achieves operating leverage on its expanding revenue base, the fundamentals justify renewed interest at today’s price levels.
The stock’s current technical configuration—having rebounded off a significant multi-month support while trading at a material discount to recent 12-month highs—could be viewed as ideal positioning for pre-catalyst entry.
Is it the Right Time to Buy BBAI?
In summary, BBAI stands out for a confluence of reasons:
- Technical indicators point to the early stages of a bullish reversal, with strong support, rising volume, and positive breakout momentum.
- Fundamental metrics exhibit material year-over-year improvement, growing revenue, disciplined cost control, and a robust balance sheet—despite ongoing losses.
- Macroeconomic context continues to favor enterprise-grade AI, especially in government and defense—areas where BBAI commands unique expertise and client intimacy.
- Liquidity and volume confirm that investor interest and institutional participation remain robust.
- Multiple forward catalysts, from new contract wins to financial optimization and sector tailwinds, provide a compelling narrative for revaluation.
While acknowledging the ongoing volatility and path toward profitability, the weight of financial, technical, and strategic evidence points to a company potentially entering a new bullish phase. For Singapore-based investors seeking a high-conviction, high-upside play in a dynamic AI segment, BigBear.ai’s fundamentals justify renewed interest, and the stock seems to represent an excellent opportunity for those with an appetite for growth and innovation.
With its attractive entry levels, improving balance sheet, clear technical supports, and sector-defining catalysts, BBAI stands uniquely poised to capture the next stage of value creation in AI decision intelligence—making it a name that deserves not just attention, but careful consideration in any forward-looking technology portfolio.
How to buy BBAI stock in Singapore?
Buying shares of BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (BBAI) online is remarkably straightforward and secure for investors in Singapore, thanks to regulated brokerage platforms operating under MAS guidelines. You simply open an account, deposit funds, and then choose how you want to invest. The two most common methods are spot (cash) buying and trading via Contracts for Difference (CFDs). Each approach has unique characteristics, fees, and risk profiles. To help you make an informed decision, we’ll compare brokers’ key features further down the page.
Spot buying
When you buy BBAI shares for cash (“spot buying”), you are purchasing real shares and become a legal shareholder with voting rights and dividend eligibility (if paid). Singapore brokers typically charge a fixed commission per trade, often SGD 5–10, plus small regulatory fees.
Key Example
Suppose BBAI is trading at USD 3.25 per share, and you have SGD 1,350 to invest (approximately USD 1,000). With a fixed commission of SGD 7 (about USD 5), your net investable amount is SGD 1,343 (USD 995).
You can buy about 306 shares of BBAI.
Gain scenario:
If the BBAI share price rises by 10% to USD 3.58, your shares are now worth SGD 1,485 (USD 1,100).
Result: +SGD 135 gross gain (+10%), not factoring in exchange rate changes or taxes.
CFD trading
Trading BBAI shares via CFDs allows you to speculate on price movements without owning the underlying shares. CFDs are leveraged products: you can control a larger position with a relatively small deposit. Fees for CFDs are mainly the spread (the difference between buy and sell prices) and potential overnight financing costs if you hold positions open for more than a day.
Key Example
You open a CFD position on BBAI with SGD 1,350 (USD 1,000) at 5x leverage, giving you a market exposure of SGD 6,750 (USD 5,000).
If the stock rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%.
Result:
You would make an SGD 540 (USD 400) profit on your SGD 1,350 (USD 1,000) outlay, before fees and daily financing costs.
Final advice
Before investing, always compare each broker’s fees, account minimums, trading tools, and service standards to find the right fit for your needs. Both spot buying and CFD trading offer advantages—and risks—so it’s vital to align your choice with your financial goals and risk tolerance. For a detailed comparison of brokers suitable for Singapore investors, consult our broker comparison guide further down the page.
Check out the best brokers in Singapore!Compare brokersOur 7 tips for buying BBAI stock
| 📊 Step | 📝 Specific tip for BBAI |
|---|---|
| Analyze the market | Assess the AI sector’s growth in Singapore and globally, and review BBAI’s performance in government and defense contracts to gauge its long-term prospects. |
| Choose the right trading platform | Select a MAS-regulated Singapore brokerage that provides direct access to the NYSE and competitive forex rates for USD trades in BBAI. |
| Define your investment budget | Allocate only a portion of your capital to BBAI, as it is a highly volatile stock, and diversify with other assets to lower portfolio risk. |
| Choose a strategy (short or long term) | Consider a medium to long-term strategy, as BBAI’s government contracts and AI innovations may drive future growth despite current net losses. |
| Monitor news and financial results | Regularly review BBAI’s quarterly reports and major announcements, especially regarding Department of Homeland Security or digital identity contracts. |
| Use risk management tools | Set strict stop-loss levels and consider trailing stops to protect your investment from rapid price swings common with BBAI’s high-beta nature. |
| Sell at the right time | Look to take profits around technical resistance levels (e.g., near $3.34 or $3.53), or reevaluate your position before key earnings or sector events. |
The latest news about BBAI
BigBear.ai reports improved Q1 2025 results with 5% revenue growth and reduced net loss. In its latest quarterly release on May 1, 2025, BigBear.ai (BBAI) announced a year-over-year revenue increase to $34.8 million and a notable narrowing of its net loss to $62.0 million from $127.8 million a year earlier. This positive development demonstrates progress toward financial stabilization and is especially constructive, as the company affirmed its full-year 2025 outlook with projected revenues of $160-180 million. While adjusted EBITDA remains negative, the declining loss trajectory and increased backlog ($385 million as of March 31, 2025) offer reassurance on the company’s ability to secure new business, a point of interest for Singaporean analysts watching global AI industry trends.
Stock price surges 11.68% over the last two weeks amid technical breakout and volume increase. BigBear.ai’s stock has experienced a robust positive momentum in recent trading sessions, posting nearly 12% gains over the past two weeks and outperforming many other AI-focused peers. This rally was supported by a volume uptick, which is often read as a constructive technical signal, and coincided with a break above the short-term downward trendline. These technical factors may appeal to Singapore-based institutional investors and traders seeking to take advantage of tactical opportunities in the fast-moving AI sector internationally.
Company strengthens balance sheet by reducing $58 million in long-term debt and raising $64.7 million. During Q1 2025, the firm strategically reduced its long-term debt burden through conversions of its 2029 notes, while simultaneously bolstering liquidity by securing $64.7 million via warrant exercises and new issues. This deleveraging and improved cash position (now $107.6 million) are important signals of enhancing financial resilience, which aligns with risk-conscious investment criteria prevalent among Singaporean asset managers and may support confidence in BBAI’s medium-term funding capacity for strategic initiatives.
BigBear.ai secures new contracts with U.S. government agencies, increasing sector credibility and backlog. Recently, BigBear.ai expanded its revenue base by winning digital identity and Department of Homeland Security awards, underscoring its established presence in public sector AI applications. For Singapore-based observers, this validates both the company’s technical capabilities and its ability to navigate highly regulated, mission-critical markets—an essential factor for analysts benchmarking international technology leaders with potential to export expertise to Asia-Pacific government transformation projects.
Analysts maintain a price target 30% above current price, reflecting continued optimism toward AI sector growth. Despite ongoing losses and volatility, the analyst consensus points to a $4.23 target, implying a 30% upside from current levels and suggesting that industry professionals maintain confidence in BBAI’s AI-driven business prospects. With Singaporean investors increasingly attentive to global AI leaders, this bullish positioning—supported by both recent operational improvements and strong sector tailwinds—reinforces BBAI’s relevance as a stock to monitor for exposure to cutting-edge decision intelligence technologies.
FAQ
What is the latest dividend for BBAI stock?
BBAI stock does not currently pay a dividend. The company has yet to implement a dividend distribution policy, focusing instead on reinvesting earnings to drive growth in AI-powered decision intelligence. This is a common approach among technology firms aiming to expand aggressively in emerging markets like artificial intelligence.
What is the forecast for BBAI stock in 2025, 2026, and 2027?
Based on its current price of $3.25, projected levels are $4.23 for the end of 2025, $4.88 for the end of 2026, and $6.50 for the end of 2027. As the AI sector continues to attract attention and BigBear.ai builds on contracts within government and defense, this positive outlook is supported by increasing sector momentum and the company’s active efforts to expand its revenue base.
Should I sell my BBAI shares?
Holding onto BBAI shares may be appropriate for investors seeking exposure to the rapidly evolving AI sector. The company demonstrates strategic resilience through strong government contracts and has shown notable year-on-year revenue growth. Mid- to long-term growth potential remains attractive, particularly as the firm capitalizes on the increasing demand for decision intelligence solutions in both public and private sectors.
How are dividends or capital gains from BBAI stock taxed in Singapore?
Singapore does not tax capital gains or foreign dividends received by individual investors. Therefore, profits from selling BBAI shares are not subject to local tax. However, be aware that U.S. withholding tax may apply to dividends (currently 30%), but as BBAI does not pay dividends, this is not currently relevant. Always consult the latest IRAS guidelines for any changes.
What is the latest dividend for BBAI stock?
BBAI stock does not currently pay a dividend. The company has yet to implement a dividend distribution policy, focusing instead on reinvesting earnings to drive growth in AI-powered decision intelligence. This is a common approach among technology firms aiming to expand aggressively in emerging markets like artificial intelligence.
What is the forecast for BBAI stock in 2025, 2026, and 2027?
Based on its current price of $3.25, projected levels are $4.23 for the end of 2025, $4.88 for the end of 2026, and $6.50 for the end of 2027. As the AI sector continues to attract attention and BigBear.ai builds on contracts within government and defense, this positive outlook is supported by increasing sector momentum and the company’s active efforts to expand its revenue base.
Should I sell my BBAI shares?
Holding onto BBAI shares may be appropriate for investors seeking exposure to the rapidly evolving AI sector. The company demonstrates strategic resilience through strong government contracts and has shown notable year-on-year revenue growth. Mid- to long-term growth potential remains attractive, particularly as the firm capitalizes on the increasing demand for decision intelligence solutions in both public and private sectors.
How are dividends or capital gains from BBAI stock taxed in Singapore?
Singapore does not tax capital gains or foreign dividends received by individual investors. Therefore, profits from selling BBAI shares are not subject to local tax. However, be aware that U.S. withholding tax may apply to dividends (currently 30%), but as BBAI does not pay dividends, this is not currently relevant. Always consult the latest IRAS guidelines for any changes.
