Should I Buy BBAI Stock in Singapore in 2025?
Is it the right time to buy BBAI?
BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI), listed on the NYSE and trading at approximately $7.75 as of July 2025, continues to capture attention within Singapore’s investor community, especially those focused on emerging technology sectors. Boasting an average daily trading volume of over 109 million shares (with recent daily volume surpassing 200 million), BBAI reflects robust, sustained interest from both institutional and retail participants. Recent months saw substantial upward momentum—over 400% in the past year—bolstered by strategic US defense contracts, involvement in major military exercises, and a successful reduction of long-term debt by $58 million in Q1 2025. While the company remains non-profitable for now, with a price-to-earnings ratio not available and no dividend yield, its growth trajectory is underpinned by a $385 million backlog and expansion into private sector AI applications. Notably, BBAI’s adoption of advanced artificial intelligence solutions for defense, logistics, and healthcare positions it at the forefront of a sector undergoing rapid transformation worldwide, including in Asia. Local and global analysts remain constructive, anticipating further upside, with the consensus target price now $10.08, as agreed by more than 11 leading national and international banks. For risk-tolerant Singaporean investors seeking exposure to the AI revolution, BBAI presents a compelling case as momentum builds.
- ✅Exceptional one-year share price appreciation driven by AI-focused contracts.
- ✅Robust backlog of $385 million, underpinning future revenue visibility.
- ✅Strategic expansion into private sectors, diversifying revenue streams beyond government.
- ✅Significant reduction in long-term debt strengthens the balance sheet.
- ✅Established partnerships in international defense and critical infrastructure projects.
- ❌High share price volatility with a 5-year beta of 3.05.
- ❌Profitability timeline is uncertain due to ongoing operating losses.
- ✅Exceptional one-year share price appreciation driven by AI-focused contracts.
- ✅Robust backlog of $385 million, underpinning future revenue visibility.
- ✅Strategic expansion into private sectors, diversifying revenue streams beyond government.
- ✅Significant reduction in long-term debt strengthens the balance sheet.
- ✅Established partnerships in international defense and critical infrastructure projects.
Is it the right time to buy BBAI?
- ✅Exceptional one-year share price appreciation driven by AI-focused contracts.
- ✅Robust backlog of $385 million, underpinning future revenue visibility.
- ✅Strategic expansion into private sectors, diversifying revenue streams beyond government.
- ✅Significant reduction in long-term debt strengthens the balance sheet.
- ✅Established partnerships in international defense and critical infrastructure projects.
- ❌High share price volatility with a 5-year beta of 3.05.
- ❌Profitability timeline is uncertain due to ongoing operating losses.
- ✅Exceptional one-year share price appreciation driven by AI-focused contracts.
- ✅Robust backlog of $385 million, underpinning future revenue visibility.
- ✅Strategic expansion into private sectors, diversifying revenue streams beyond government.
- ✅Significant reduction in long-term debt strengthens the balance sheet.
- ✅Established partnerships in international defense and critical infrastructure projects.
- What is BBAI?
- BBAI Stock Price
- Our full analysis on BBAI stock
- How to buy BBAI stock in Singapore?
- Our 7 tips for buying BBAI stock
- The latest news about BBAI
- FAQ
- On the same topic
Why trust HelloSafe ?
At HelloSafe, our expert has been tracking the performance of BBAI for over three years. Every month, hundreds of thousands of users in Singapore trust us to analyse market trends and identify the best investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes and do not constitute investment advice. In accordance with our ethical charter, we have never been, and will never be, compensated by BBAI.
What is BBAI?
Indicator | Value | Analysis |
---|---|---|
🏳️ Nationality | United States | US-based, benefiting from access to the world’s largest AI and defense market. |
💼 Market | NYSE | Listed on NYSE, providing global visibility and strong liquidity. |
🏛️ ISIN code | US08975B1098 | Standard US ISIN, ensuring accessibility for international investors. |
👤 CEO | Kevin McAleenan | Led by a former US DHS Secretary, enhancing credibility for government contracts. |
🏢 Market cap | $2.26 billion | Rapid growth reflects strong market expectations for BBAI’s AI-focused offering. |
📈 Revenue | $160–180 million (2025E) | Projected revenue shows robust growth but still relies on government contracts. |
💹 EBITDA | -$7 million (Q1 2025 Adj.) | Negative EBITDA reflects ongoing investments and near-term profitability risks. |
📊 P/E Ratio | N/A (not profitable) | No positive P/E; continued losses highlight the need for future turnaround. |
BBAI Stock Price
The price of BBAI stock is rising this week. The current share price is USD 7.75, up 2.51% over the last 24 hours and surging 33.62% for the week. BBAI’s market capitalisation stands at USD 2.26 billion, with average 3-month trading volumes of 109.12 million shares. The company does not currently record a P/E ratio, as it is not profitable, and it pays no dividend. High volatility is reflected in its stock beta of 3.05, highlighting both significant risk and potential opportunity for active investors.
Our full analysis on BBAI stock
After careful review of BBAI’s most recent financials and its remarkable three-year stock performance, our proprietary analytical approach integrates up-to-date financial metrics, technical signals, market positioning, and a competitive landscape scan. The intention is to shed light on the factors making BBAI a focus for growth-oriented investors. So, why might BBAI stock once again become a strategic entry point into the global artificial intelligence and decision analytics sector in 2025?
Recent performance and market context
BBAI has distinguished itself as one of the fastest-moving AI technology stocks in the US market, trading on the NYSE and now boasting a market capitalisation of USD 2.26 billion as of July 2025. The current share price is USD 7.75, up 2.51% in the past 24 hours, with a formidable 33.62% gain over the last five days, and a staggering 423.65% rise year-on-year. This spectacular rally is underpinned by growing investor enthusiasm for AI-focused firms and supported by BBAI’s expanding contract base, particularly within US government and defence sectors.
Key recent events fortifying bullish sentiment include BBAI’s participation in major defence contracts like “Project Convergence,” successful debt reduction, and international expansion, notably through strategic partnerships in the UAE. The market environment is notably favourable for technology innovators, as global demand for advanced AI and predictive analytics solutions accelerates. Within this context, BBAI has effectively capitalised on the current AI boom, drawing attention from both short-term traders and long-term institutional holders in Singapore and beyond.
Technical analysis
Examining the core technical indicators, BBAI’s trend is powerfully poised for further growth, albeit within a context of elevated volatility. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 79.06, signalling overbought territory, but this often accompanies stocks experiencing breakout momentum. The MACD at 0.79 is positive, reinforcing the prevailing bullish phase. Momentum indicators (such as Williams %R at -6.90 and CCI at 186.51) highlight strong buying interest even at higher price levels.
The movement above all principal moving averages—5, 20, 50, and 200 days—provides a robust technical foundation. Short-term support is seen at USD 4.30, and the key resistance level is USD 9.70, with the stock challenging its 52-week high of USD 10.36. The consolidated buy signals across moving averages (all in positive alignment) point to ongoing short- and medium-term upside risk. While high volatility (beta: 3.05) should be noted, the structural price action and active trading volumes strongly favour bullish positioning for nimble investors.
Fundamental analysis
Fundamentally, BBAI presents a story of rapid top-line expansion and strategic evolution, despite currently reporting negative earnings. For Q1 2025, revenue reached USD 34.8 million, a +5% improvement over Q1 2024 amid a difficult funding and spending climate. Gross margin is at 21.3%—significant for a company redeploying resources into rapid growth and market share expansion. The net loss of USD 62 million and negative adjusted EBITDA (-USD 7 million) reflect ongoing investment into people, technology, and R&D. Crucially, debt reduction (paying off USD 58 million in Q1 2025) and a cash position of USD 107.6 million position BBAI to finance continued expansion without near-term liquidity pressure.
Unlike mature technology peers, BBAI’s valuation narrative is driven by future growth rather than current profitability (no meaningful P/E ratio yet). The company’s strategic emphasis on government contracts, especially with the US Department of Defense, gives it a defensible market niche. At the same time, its diversification into private sector verticals (logistics, healthcare) and the integration of innovative technologies from recent acquisitions (e.g., Pangiam) strengthen its claim as a true next-generation AI player. With a robust USD 385 million order backlog and projected annual revenues of USD 160–180 million in 2025, BBAI’s “growth at scale” ambition stands out.
Volume and liquidity
BBAI’s trading activity is exceptionally vigorous, with an average three-month volume exceeding 109 million shares and several days posting volumes over 200 million. This depth ensures efficient price discovery and tight bid-ask spreads, attributes valued by both institutional and retail traders in Singapore. The public float of approximately 281 million shares accommodates both short-term trading strategies and longer-term accumulations. High volume also signals sustained market interest, allowing for flexible entry and exit even as price action remains rapid and occasionally volatile.
Short interest is notable (27.94% of the float), which can act as a potential catalyst for sharp upward movements during short squeezes, as recently seen throughout the US technology sector.
Catalysts and positive outlook
- Defence AI leadership: Major contracts with the US Department of Defense, including “Project Convergence,” provide recurring revenue and sector credibility.
- Rising AI adoption in enterprise: New revenue streams in commercial logistics, digital health, and advanced predictive analytics show high early traction.
- Strategic debt reduction: Aggressive debt repayment improves the company’s risk profile and supports further investment.
- International expansion: Breakthrough partnerships in the UAE and other global markets, positioning BBAI as an AI supplier to both government and leading corporates.
- Adaptive technology stack: Cutting-edge solutions in computer vision, biometrics, and digital identity, strengthened by the Pangiam acquisition.
- Order backlog strength: USD 385 million backlog supports robust near-term revenue guidance.
The broader sector environment is equally favourable, as both public and private sector clients accelerate digital transformation plans; meanwhile, government budgets for AI defence solutions continue to expand, providing a reliable pipeline for BBAI’s core offering.
Investment strategies
- Short-term entry: Traders can target price swings between the immediate support (USD 4.30) and resistance (USD 9.70), leveraging the volatility and high trading volumes for tactical gains. The ongoing positive momentum and possibility of a short squeeze offer additional appeal for active participants.
- Medium-term positioning: Investors can look to benefit from catalyst-rich quarters ahead, such as earnings reports (the Q2 2025 result due on July 31), new contract announcements, and sector news flow. BBAI’s compelling growth in both public and private sectors makes it an attractive hold over the coming six to twelve months.
- Long-term accumulation: For those who believe in the AI megatrend, BBAI’s dual exposure to defence and commercial innovation, expanding partnership ecosystem, and scalable business model set the foundation for multi-year value creation. Entering on price pullbacks or ahead of major order news may offer optimal positioning.
BBAI is ideally placed at a technical and strategic inflection point, giving both tactical traders and patient investors diverse methods to participate in future upside.
Is it the right time to buy BBAI?
Bringing this comprehensive analysis together, BBAI exhibits a unique combination of innovation-driven growth, substantial market momentum, and multiple catalysts for further appreciation. The fundamentals justify renewed interest: powerful AI positioning, high-value contract wins, and global expansion efforts put BBAI on the map among next-generation tech leaders. Despite current unprofitability, the company’s high conviction order backlog, robust cash management, and accelerated revenue growth support the argument for serious consideration.
Confident investors seeking exposure to a fast-growing segment of the AI revolution will note that BBAI seems to represent an excellent opportunity at current levels. While its intrinsic volatility is undeniable, BBAI’s potential to outpace the sector—fueled by breakthrough contracts and expanding market share—means it may well be entering a new bullish phase. For those ready to participate in the next wave of AI-driven transformation, BBAI stands out as a stock to monitor closely and with genuine conviction.
How to buy BBAI stock in Singapore?
Buying BBAI stock online via a regulated broker in Singapore is secure and straightforward. You can invest by purchasing the shares directly (spot buying) or by trading Contracts for Difference (CFDs), which let you speculate on price movements with leverage. Detailed comparisons of leading brokerage platforms are available further down the page to help you make an informed choice.
Cash buying
A cash purchase means you own actual BBAI shares, making you a direct shareholder with associated rights. Brokers typically charge a fixed commission per trade—often around SGD 5 to SGD 15 per order.
Gain scenario for BBAI shares
If the BBAI share price is USD 7.75, you can buy around 128 shares with a USD 1,000 stake, including a brokerage fee of about USD 5.
If the share price rises by 10%, your shares are now worth USD 1,100. Result: +USD 100 gross gain, i.e. +10% on your investment.
Trading via CFD
CFD trading on BBAI lets you profit from price movements without owning the underlying shares. CFDs offer leverage, but also introduce risks. Fees include the spread (the difference between buy/sell prices) and overnight financing charges if you maintain positions over more than one trading day.
Example of a profitable CFD trade
You open a CFD position on BBAI shares, with 5x leverage and a USD 1,000 stake. This gives you market exposure of USD 5,000.
✔️ Gain scenario: If the stock rises by 8%, your position gains 8% × 5 = 40%. Result: +USD 400 gain, on a bet of USD 1,000 (excluding fees).
Final advice
Before you invest, compare brokers’ commissions, spreads, and available platforms—see our detailed comparison further down the page. The best approach for buying BBAI ultimately depends on your investment objectives, whether you prefer direct ownership or more active short-term strategies.
Check out the best brokers in Singapore!Compare brokersOur 7 tips for buying BBAI stock
📊 Step | 📝 Specific tip for BBAI |
---|---|
Analyze the market | Review the outlook for AI technology and government digitalization trends, as these shape demand for BBAI’s solutions. |
Choose the right trading platform | Use a Singapore-approved broker with direct access to NYSE for efficient BBAI share purchases. |
Define your investment budget | Allocate only a small portion of your capital to BBAI, as the stock is highly volatile and best suited for diversified portfolios. |
Choose a strategy (short or long term) | Consider a medium- to long-term strategy to capture growth from BBAI’s expanding AI contracts and new commercial projects. |
Monitor news and financial results | Stay alert to quarterly earnings, new defense contracts, and updates on strategic partnerships that influence BBAI’s prospects. |
Use risk management tools | Set stop-loss levels and track price alerts due to BBAI’s active trading and sharp price swings. |
Sell at the right time | Assess selling when BBAI approaches technical highs or after significant positive news to lock in profits. |
The latest news about BBAI
BBAI shares soared over 33% in the last five days with trading volumes nearly doubling the average. This significant price action signals heightened market interest, reflecting either increased institutional positioning or strong retail participation. The surge aligns with current AI sector enthusiasm, which is resonating globally and in technology-driven hubs such as Singapore.
BigBear.ai announced new U.S. Department of Defense contracts focused on AI-driven military solutions and logistics. These official contracts underscore the company’s ability to capture government business, further growing its $385 million backlog. Success in public sector AI initiatives is a positive catalyst, notably for sovereign investors and funds in Singapore that favour government-anchored revenue streams.
The company's financial strength was improved by reducing long-term debt by $58 million in Q1 2025. This reduction enhances BBAI’s balance sheet flexibility, providing room for further investment and strategic moves. Such progress strengthens the company’s narrative for long-term stability—an aspect of particular interest to institutional investors and asset managers in Singapore seeking sustainable and resilient AI growth vehicles.
BBAI continues to expand internationally, highlighted by strategic partnerships in the United Arab Emirates and commercial diversification. As BBAI pushes beyond government contracts into sectors such as private logistics and healthcare, its global market relevance increases. This international expansion introduces new opportunities for Asian partnerships and cross-border technology transfer, topics that are tracked by investors throughout the SG region.
All key short- and long-term technical indicators for BBAI remain strongly positive, with major moving averages signalling sustained momentum. Both the 20, 50, and 200-day moving averages show unambiguous buy signals, and a newly established resistance zone near $10.36 offers a credible technical target. Such persistent upside momentum and technical confirmation are especially relevant for active traders and fund managers in Singapore’s dynamic investment landscape.
FAQ
What is the latest dividend for BBAI stock?
BBAI does not currently pay any dividend to its shareholders. The company is focused on reinvestment and business growth in artificial intelligence solutions. Historically, BBAI has not distributed dividends and this trend is likely to continue as it pursues expansion in government and private sector contracts.
What is the forecast for BBAI stock in 2025, 2026, and 2027?
Based on the current price, projections are $10.08 at the end of 2025, $11.63 for 2026, and $15.50 for 2027. This outlook is supported by BBAI’s strong momentum in the expanding AI sector and recent contract wins. Most analysts remain optimistic, noting growth in both public and private sector demand.
Should I sell my BBAI shares?
Holding BBAI shares may be an appealing strategy for investors looking at mid- to long-term potential. The company’s ongoing contract growth, robust sector dynamics, and recent operational improvements all signal ongoing strategic resilience. Short-term volatility is high, but fundamentals suggest patience could be rewarded as the AI market matures.
How are dividends and capital gains from BBAI taxed for Singapore residents?
For Singapore-based investors, dividends from BBAI (if paid) are not taxed locally, and capital gains are generally tax-free. However, US withholding tax on dividends may apply at source, usually at 30% unless reduced by treaty. BBAI shares are not eligible for local CPF investment schemes.
What is the latest dividend for BBAI stock?
BBAI does not currently pay any dividend to its shareholders. The company is focused on reinvestment and business growth in artificial intelligence solutions. Historically, BBAI has not distributed dividends and this trend is likely to continue as it pursues expansion in government and private sector contracts.
What is the forecast for BBAI stock in 2025, 2026, and 2027?
Based on the current price, projections are $10.08 at the end of 2025, $11.63 for 2026, and $15.50 for 2027. This outlook is supported by BBAI’s strong momentum in the expanding AI sector and recent contract wins. Most analysts remain optimistic, noting growth in both public and private sector demand.
Should I sell my BBAI shares?
Holding BBAI shares may be an appealing strategy for investors looking at mid- to long-term potential. The company’s ongoing contract growth, robust sector dynamics, and recent operational improvements all signal ongoing strategic resilience. Short-term volatility is high, but fundamentals suggest patience could be rewarded as the AI market matures.
How are dividends and capital gains from BBAI taxed for Singapore residents?
For Singapore-based investors, dividends from BBAI (if paid) are not taxed locally, and capital gains are generally tax-free. However, US withholding tax on dividends may apply at source, usually at 30% unless reduced by treaty. BBAI shares are not eligible for local CPF investment schemes.