Should I buy NIO stock in 2025?

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At HelloSafe, our expert has been monitoring the performance of NIO for more than three years. Every month, tens of thousands of users in Singapore rely on us to interpret market trends and highlight the most promising investment opportunities. Our analyses are provided for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. In line with our ethical charter, we have never been, and will never be, compensated by NIO.

What is NIO?

How much is NIO stock?

The price of NIO stock is rising this week. As of now, NIO trades at $3.96, reflecting a 24-hour gain of $0.12 (+3.13%), though the stock has dipped 1.74% over the past week.

Its market capitalization stands at $7.99 billion, with an average three-month daily trading volume of approximately 57.88 million shares.

NIO does not have a positive P/E Ratio or a dividend yield, given ongoing net losses, and the stock’s beta of 1.73 signals higher volatility than the market average.

Investors in Singapore should note NIO’s strong growth potential, but also be prepared for considerable price swings.

Our full analysis on NIO stock

We have undertaken a rigorous review of NIO Inc.’s most recent financial results and a thorough assessment of the stock’s trajectory over the past three years. Employing a proprietary blend of core financial indicators, advanced technical signals, sector market data, and competitive benchmarks, our analysis seeks to uncover actionable insights for discerning investors. So, why might NIO stock once again become a strategic entry point into the global electric vehicle sector as we approach the second half of 2025?

Recent Performance and Market Context

The recent dynamics surrounding NIO illustrate a stock at a compelling juncture. After a period of pronounced volatility, NIO’s share price stands at $3.96 (as of 9 May 2025), having rebounded by 12.5% over the past month. While the stock remains down 9.59% YTD and has retraced by over 24% year-on-year, the recent price action is notable for its consistency above crucial support levels, highlighted by a gentle but distinct reversal in investor sentiment.

• Record Deliveries: April 2025 saw NIO deliver 23,900 vehicles (+53% YoY), a performance underscoring renewed operational momentum. This marks four consecutive quarters of robust YoY volume growth, with YTD deliveries rising 44.5% versus 2024.
• Product Line Expansion: NIO has diversified its offering with the ONVO family-oriented sub-brand and the high-end FIREFLY marque—both fortifying its reach across key market segments. The flagship ET9 executive sedan, now available, positions NIO at the frontier of premium electric mobility.
• Sector Tides and Macroeconomic Backdrop: China’s domestic EV sector benefits from sustained policy support, sizable consumer demand, and global climate ambitions. Even with pockets of uncertainty in Europe or global trade, the Chinese market’s acceleration is a vital tailwind.

Cumulatively, these improvements—together with a competitive price-to-sales ratio (0.89x)—point to conditions unusually favorable for new long-term positioning.

Technical Analysis

A deeper technical read reveals a structure increasingly conducive to bullish speculation:

• Key Indicators: The 14-day RSI sits at a balanced 50.58, reflecting a neutral, yet constructive picture—neither overbought nor oversold—while the MACD hovers marginally negative but with hints of bottoming behavior.
• Moving Averages: NIO’s price recently advanced above the 20-day simple moving average ($3.84), reinforcing near-term strength. Even though the stock remains below the 50-, 100-, and 200-day SMAs, this structure often marks the final phase before a more decisive reversal as mean reversion dynamics exert their pull.
• Support and Resistance: $3.83–$3.84 emerges as formidable technical support, frequently attracting value-seeking inflows, while resistance at $3.97–$4.12 forms the initial barrier to a renewed uptrend. Breakout above secondary resistance at $4.25 would likely confirm a transition to medium-term bullish mode.
• Momentum Profile: The convergence of these factors—supported by stability above critical thresholds—suggests NIO’s recent consolidation phase may be giving way to a more dynamic upward move, especially with sizable volume spikes offering confirmation of renewed market appetite.

In sum, technical evidence lends weight to the argument that NIO is entering a region of fresh accumulation interest.

Fundamental Analysis

Despite ongoing net losses, NIO’s fundamentals hint at undervaluation relative to growth and sector position:

• Delivery Growth: The company just posted YTD delivery growth of +44.5%, a figure that dramatically outpaces the broader EV market and competitors such as XPeng or Li Auto. The three-brand strategy—NIO (premium), ONVO (family-oriented), and FIREFLY (urban high-end)—equips the group to target every major price segment.
• Innovation and Ecosystem: NIO’s heavy investment in battery-swapping technologies, artificial intelligence, and autonomous vehicle capabilities mark structural strengths that create barriers to entry for rivals. Strategic partnerships (like the CATL battery initiative) reinforce these advantages with scale and technological safety.
• Valuation: Currently trading at 0.89x sales, NIO sits appreciably beneath its historical price-to-sales ratios, suggesting the market may be underappreciating current and future growth rates. While profitability remains elusive in the short run (TTM EPS: -$1.53; negative P/E), this capacity for rapid top-line expansion, if sustained, often leads to positive earnings surprises as manufacturing scale matures.
• Brand and Market Share: NIO’s cumulative deliveries of 737,558 vehicles (as of April 2025) firmly entrench it as a tier-one EV manufacturer in China. The success of the ET9 and a positive customer response to new brand launches underscore formidable brand equity and stickiness across demographics.

Collectively, NIO’s fundamentals justify renewed interest, especially as historical headwinds—margin compression, competitive threat, and capital dilution—are counterbalanced by powerful growth catalysts.

Volume and Liquidity

Robust liquidity is a cornerstone of NIO’s investment case. The stock boasts an average daily volume of 57.88 million shares, a level that reflects deep institutional participation and, by extension, robust market confidence. High float enables more dynamic price discovery and facilitates both entry and exit—an important factor for active traders and institutional allocations alike. Such liquidity also tends to anchor valuations, providing a dynamic buffer against isolated shocks and enabling NIO to access capital markets efficiently, as seen in its recent HK$4.03 billion equity offering.

Catalysts and Positive Outlook

Looking forward, a series of tangible catalysts offer a favorable context for NIO to embark on a new bullish phase:

• Global Expansion: Rollout of the FIREFLY brand internationally will open fresh addressable markets. This strategic diversification beyond China is a clear upward lever, particularly as NIO adapts its product mix for differing regulatory and consumer landscapes.
• Technological Breakthroughs: The company’s singular focus on innovative battery-swapping infrastructure promises not only faster, more convenient charging but also operational resilience relative to traditional plug-in models. Ongoing research into AI and autonomous vehicles may further differentiate NIO and command premium valuations.
• Earnings Momentum: The upcoming Q1 earnings release (expected June 5, 2025), with a consensus EPS forecast of -$0.22, presents an inflection point likely to shift analyst and market expectations. Any move toward narrowing losses—coupled with sustained delivery growth—may serve as a clear catalyst.
• Strategic Partnerships: Collaboration with manufacturing, AI, and supply chain partners (such as CATL) suggests ongoing operational leverage and the possibility of accelerated platform expansion.

With analyst price targets currently averaging $5.11 (representing ~29% upside from current levels), the backdrop is highly constructive for re-rating scenarios—especially if upcoming earnings or strategic announcements affirm the current growth trajectory.

Investment Strategies

NIO’s current set-up appears to support multiple, diversified investment strategies for those seeking exposure to China’s premium EV growth story:

Short-Term Entry

• The stock is trading just above strong support ($3.83-$3.84), making near-term pullbacks plausible entry points for tactical trades.
• With the Q1 earnings event on the horizon, volatility is likely to increase, enabling nimble investors to capitalise on directional moves.
• Technical confirmation above $4.12 could prompt a swift break toward $4.25 and $4.44 levels.

Medium-Term Positioning

• Ongoing monthly delivery surges and product launches offer ongoing narrative momentum for holding through mid-year catalysts.
• Alignment with supportive macro policies and sustained liquidity bode well for a gradual, fundamental rerating.

Long-Term Opportunity

• Exposure to a company executing a three-brand strategy with clear technological and logistical advantages in battery infrastructure and EV software.
• Historically attractive price-to-sales valuation, paired with demonstrated operational growth, could form the bedrock for multi-year appreciation—particularly as NIO approaches positive cash flow territory.
• Strategic entry into global markets increases the optionality of the asset and may drive future valuation multiples higher.

Notably, the current price region seems to represent an excellent opportunity for establishing a position at a technical and valuation low, with defined upside catalysts.

Is It the Right Time to Buy NIO?

In synthesizing the technical, fundamental, and market factors, several key strengths emerge:

• Accelerating delivery growth (>44% YTD) against a challenging sector backdrop
• Diversified and innovative product lineup targeting distinct customer segments
• Ownership of key infrastructure and partnerships promising operational leverage
• Robust liquidity and dynamic float, enabling flexible capital deployment
• Attractive price-to-sales valuation, well below historical levels
• Clear upcoming catalysts, including new product rollouts, global expansion, and the Q1 earnings event

While NIO is not without headwinds—such as fierce domestic competition and the persistent challenge of near-term losses—the combination of strong operational performance, undervalued sales multiple, and high-visibility catalysts makes a compelling case for renewed optimism. The evidence suggests that NIO may be entering a new bullish phase, and current conditions seem to justify more serious consideration from investors seeking exposure to the next chapter in electric mobility.

In this period of profound sector transformation, NIO’s disciplined innovation, scale, and liquidity appear uniquely positioned to unlock significant upside potential in the quarters ahead—an opportunity sophisticated investors may wish to evaluate with conviction.

How to buy NIO stock in Singapore?

Buying NIO stock online as a Singaporean investor is a straightforward and secure process, especially when using a regulated, MAS-licensed broker. There are two main ways to buy NIO: through spot share purchases, where you own the actual shares, or via Contracts for Difference (CFDs), which allow you to speculate on price movements without owning the stock itself. Both options are accessible online and offer transparent fee structures. Each method suits different goals and risk profiles—below, you’ll find the differences explained, along with a broker fee comparison further down the page to help you make an informed choice.

Spot Buying

Spot buying means purchasing and directly owning NIO shares, usually through an online brokerage account that gives you access to US markets such as the NYSE. Most Singapore brokers charge a fixed commission per trade—commonly between S$5 and S$10 per order—plus any small local platform or exchange fees.

Example

If NIO's share price is $3.96 USD (about S$5.40 at current exchange rates), and you invest S$1,350 (approximately $1,000 USD), you can purchase roughly 253 shares, after accounting for a typical commission of S$7.
✔️ Gain Scenario:
If the price rises by 10% (to $4.36 USD), your stake increases in value to about S$1,485.
Result: That’s a gross gain of S$135, or +10% on your investment.

Trading via CFD

CFD trading allows you to speculate on NIO’s share price without actually owning the underlying stock. Instead, you enter a contract to capture the difference in price from when you open to when you close the position. CFD brokers typically charge a small spread (the difference between buy/sell prices), and if you hold the position overnight, you’ll pay a daily financing rate (overnight fee).

Example

With S$1,350 ($1,000 USD), you open a NIO CFD position using 5x leverage, giving you exposure to S$6,750 ($5,000 USD) worth of shares.
✔️ Gain Scenario:
If NIO’s price climbs by 8%, your total position gains 8% × 5 = 40%.
Result: That’s a S$540 gain (about $400 USD), on your initial S$1,350 outlay (excluding fees/spread).

Final Advice

Before investing, it’s crucial to carefully compare broker fees, trading conditions, and regulatory protections. Your choice between spot buying and CFD trading should reflect your investing experience, risk tolerance, and financial goals. For a full side-by-side breakdown of leading online brokers in Singapore—including fee structures—consult the comparison table further down this page. Remember, successful investing starts with the right platform and a clear strategy tailored to your objectives.

Our 7 tips for buying NIO stock

The latest news about NIO

NIO’s April 2025 vehicle deliveries surged 53% year-over-year, signaling robust demand and growth momentum. In April 2025, the company delivered 23,900 vehicles, with notable contributions from its new ONVO and FIREFLY brands, underscoring its capacity to diversify its product mix and capture a broader customer base. This growth suggests underlying strength in NIO’s home market despite recent global EV sector challenges and is viewed as a constructive sign for investors monitoring demand resilience and scalability, particularly relevant to Singaporean analysts evaluating opportunities in the fast-evolving Asian EV arena.

The successful launch and initial delivery of NIO’s FIREFLY brand set a strong foundation for global expansion. FIREFLY, targeted at urban and international markets, was introduced in April 2025 and is already being positioned as the company’s strategic lever for entering new regions. Singapore-based investors and analysts are keenly watching for NIO’s next moves, as Southeast Asia—including Singapore—is a potential entry point for Chinese EV brands seeking growth beyond China and Europe. The launch of FIREFLY demonstrates NIO’s ongoing commitment to product innovation and its ambition to tap into growing urban EV demand across Asia.

NIO’s capital raising through its Hong Kong listing supports its balance sheet and international growth ambitions. The company completed a HK$4.03 billion share offering in April 2025, shoring up liquidity to finance technology development, production scaling, and overseas expansion. Given Singapore’s status as a regional financial hub and the visibility of NIO on exchanges commonly tracked by local market participants, this move reassures stakeholders of NIO’s continued access to capital amid challenging capital market conditions for EV firms.

Strategic partnership with CATL for battery-swapping infrastructure enhances competitive positioning in Asia. NIO’s alliance with battery giant CATL—announced in late March 2025—accelerates the rollout of battery-swapping stations, providing a significant technological and operational edge. For Singapore, with its emphasis on smart mobility, energy solutions, and green transport, NIO’s advancements in battery-swapping technology are particularly relevant. This partnership is expected to further strengthen NIO’s value proposition in battery technology, an area of strategic interest for Southeast Asian regulators and mobility providers.

Despite short-term profitability challenges, analysts maintain a Hold rating with upside potential for NIO shares. Consensus analyst price targets currently imply approximately 29% upside from current levels, with Citi recently upgrading its view based on NIO’s new product launches and positive delivery trends. While losses persist and competitive pressures remain intense in the Chinese EV landscape, the strong delivery growth and product innovation have prompted cautious optimism among market watchers—including those in Singapore—who recognize the stock’s opportunity in the context of Asia’s accelerating transition to electric mobility.

FAQ

P. Laurore

Finance expert

Co-founder of HelloSafe and holder of a Master's degree in finance, Pauline has recognised expertise in personal finance, which she uses to help users better understand and optimise their financial choices. At HelloSafe, Pauline plays a key role in designing clear, educational content on savings, investments and personal finance. Passionate about financial education, Pauline strives, with every piece of content she oversees, to provide reliable, transparent and unbiased information for independent and informed financial management. To this end, she has tested over 100 trading platforms to help internet users make the right choices.